All Countries
Modesto, CA
Full City Profile · California · Stanislaus County County
2.8
/5.0
C+
Fair
218,614
Population
5,042/sq mi density
$77,899
Median Income
$34,656 per capita
$415,600
Home Value
$440,861 Zillow
$1,609
Median Rent
33.5% income on rent
62°F
Avg Temperature
322 sunny days/yr
812
Violent Crime/100K
3,317 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.8 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
B+
Economy
3.9 / 5.0
$77,899 median income, 4.5% unemployment
B+
Affordability
3.7 / 5.0
$415,600 home value, $1,609/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
812 violent crimes/100K (114% above avg)
C+
Education
2.6 / 5.0
20.3% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+6.4%
206,221 → 219,432
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+0.62%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+65.5%
$47,060 → $77,899
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+5.17%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Modesto across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
229,134
+9,702 from 2023 (219,432)
Projected Median Income 2030
$110,860
+$32,961 from 2023 ($77,899)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 206,221 | — | $47,060 | — |
| 2015 | 209,412 | +1.5% | $48,577 | +3.2% |
| 2017 | 213,176 | +1.8% | $54,024 | +11.2% |
| 2019 | 215,001 | +0.9% | $59,287 | +9.7% |
| 2021 | 218,771 | +1.8% | $67,011 | +13% |
| 2023 | 219,432 | +0.3% | $77,899 | +16.2% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.