Nellysford, VA

Full City Profile · Virginia · Nelson County County

4.7 /5.0
A+ Excellent
1,623 Population 169/sq mi density
$133,036 Median Income $70,801 per capita
$520,000 Home Value $596,756 Zillow
$1,521 Median Rent 51.0% income on rent
54°F Avg Temperature
A+
Overall
4.7 / 5.0
Strong
A+
Economy
4.5 / 5.0
$133,036 median income, 0.0% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.5 / 5.0
$520,000 home value, $1,521/mo rent
A+
Education
5.0 / 5.0
70.3% bachelor's degree or higher
Nellysford experiences four distinct seasons with an average annual temperature of 54°F (12°C). Winters average 34°F in January while summers reach 75°F in July. Annual precipitation totals 45.3 inches. The area receives 21.6 inches of snow annually.

Temperature

34°F Jan (1°C) 75°F Jul (24°C)
Annual Average54.1°F
0% below US avg
January Average34°F (1°C)
July Average75°F (24°C)

Geography

Elevation2,865 ft (873 m)
Area9.6 sq mi (24.9 km²)
Population Density169/sq mi
Coordinates37.9235°N, 78.8935°W
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
CountyNelson County County
Nearest AirportShenandoah Valley Regional (SHD)
24 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 45.3"
19% above US avg
Snowfall 21.6"
Wettest Month (Sep) 5.46"
Driest Month (Feb) 2.80"

Air Quality

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskVery Low
Risk Score34.1 / 100
Social Vulnerability67.5 / 100
Community Resilience54.6 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Very Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Very Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

42 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990. Strongest: M5.8. Most recent: M3.0 on May 6, 2025.

Aug 23, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M5.8 84 km
Aug 25, 2011 8 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M4.5 81 km
Aug 24, 2011 11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M4.2 82 km
Oct 21, 1998 13 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia M3.8 69 km
Mar 15, 1991 7 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.8 89 km
May 5, 2003 Virginia M3.6 89 km
Apr 22, 1991 14 km ESE of Falling Spring, West Virginia M3.5 115 km
Sep 1, 2011 7 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M3.4 84 km
Aug 24, 2011 16 km NNW of Goochland, Virginia M3.4 84 km
Sep 22, 2001 5 km E of Pantops, Virginia M3.2 45 km
May 22, 2014 15 km ENE of Cumberland, Virginia M3.1 85 km
Jan 30, 2012 9 km SSE of Louisa, Virginia M3.1 80 km
Mar 26, 2012 13 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 80 km
Oct 2, 2010 10 km NNW of Ashland, Virginia M3.0 121 km
Oct 12, 2011 9 km S of Louisa, Virginia M3.0 80 km
May 16, 2009 2 km NNE of Cave Spring, Virginia M3.0 123 km
May 6, 2025 8 km S of Dillwyn, Virginia M3.0 63 km
Apr 21, 1998 1 km NNW of Free Union, Virginia M2.8 40 km
Aug 23, 2011 9 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 84 km
Mar 15, 2015 6 km SW of Mineral, Virginia M2.8 83 km
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990-2025)

Hurricane History

2 hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 500 km since 1980. Strongest: Category 1. Most recent: Isabel (2003, Cat 1).

Year Name Category Closest
2003 Isabel Category 1 172 km
1999 Floyd Category 1 277 km
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Cat 1+, 1980-2026)

Tornado History

146 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950. Strongest: EF3. Total: 15 fatalities, 69 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Fatalities
Apr 15, 2018 EF3 73 km 0
Feb 24, 2016 EF3 77 km 1
Oct 18, 1990 EF3 91 km 0
Jul 25, 1985 EF3 52 km 0
Jul 9, 1977 EF3 82 km 0
Mar 21, 1976 EF3 67 km 0
Jun 16, 1966 EF3 46 km 0
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 58 km 1
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 28 km 11
Sep 30, 1959 EF3 52 km 0
May 27, 2022 EF2 74 km 0
Apr 19, 2019 EF2 94 km 0
Apr 28, 2011 EF2 81 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 57 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 64 km 0
Sep 17, 2004 EF2 94 km 0
Apr 28, 2002 EF2 84 km 0
Apr 28, 2002 EF2 86 km 0
Jul 15, 1996 EF2 87 km 0
May 4, 1990 EF2 43 km 2
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950-2024)

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km. Largest: PINNACLES (24,792 ac, 2000).

Year Name Acres Distance
2000 PINNACLES 24,792 90 km
2012 RICH HOLE 15,923 67 km
2023 MATTS CREEK 11,028 61 km
2016 MOUNT PLEASANT 11,001 32 km
2016 ROCKY MTN FIRE 2016 9,299 47 km
2024 WATERFALL MOUNTAIN 9,251 88 km
2022 UNNAMED 7,791 81 km
2014 ARCHER KNOB RX 6,093 48 km
2022 UNNAMED 5,893 48 km
2021 UNNAMED 5,345 68 km
2015 UNNAMED 5,149 68 km
2013 UNNAMED 4,687 66 km
2002 FULTZ RUN 4,638 72 km
2008 ST MARYS 4,373 22 km
1999 SHOP RUN 4,261 28 km
2012 UNNAMED 4,219 81 km
1986 BIG RUN 4,161 45 km
2018 UNNAMED 4,022 65 km
2012 SHIPWRECK 3,779 68 km
2021 UNNAMED 3,667 70 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 34°F (1°C) 3.2 in Coldest
February 36°F (2°C) 2.8 in Driest
March 43°F (6°C) 4.1 in
April 53°F (12°C) 3.9 in
May 62°F (17°C) 3.6 in
June 70°F (21°C) 4.5 in
July 75°F (24°C) 3.7 in Warmest
August 73°F (23°C) 3.7 in
September 66°F (19°C) 5.5 in Wettest
October 55°F (13°C) 3.4 in
November 45°F (7°C) 4.0 in
December 37°F (3°C) 3.0 in

Nellysford has a seasonal temperature swing of 41°F / from 34°F in January to 75°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 45.3 inches, with September being the wettest month (5.5") and February the driest (2.8").

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