Provencal, LA
Full City Profile · Louisiana · Natchitoches Parish County
3.5
/5.0
B+
Good
427
Population
174/sq mi density
$75,938
Median Income
$35,693 per capita
$115,200
Home Value
$182,275 Zillow
$746
Median Rent
13.1% income on rent
68°F
Avg Temperature
306 sunny days/yr
1,030
Violent Crime/100K
6,784 property/100K
B+
Overall
3.5 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A
Economy
4.2 / 5.0
$75,938 median income, 4.3% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$115,200 home value, $746/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
1,030 violent crimes/100K (171% above avg)
B+
Education
3.7 / 5.0
33.6% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-14.1%
602 → 517
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-1.51%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+64.8%
$46,083 → $75,938
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+5.12%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Provencal across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
465
-52 from 2023 (517)
Projected Median Income 2030
$107,710
+$31,772 from 2023 ($75,938)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 602 | — | $46,083 | — |
| 2015 | 603 | +0.2% | $33,438 | -27.4% |
| 2017 | 609 | +1% | $31,042 | -7.2% |
| 2019 | 600 | -1.5% | $23,603 | -24% |
| 2021 | 522 | -13% | $24,511 | +3.8% |
| 2023 | 517 | -1% | $75,938 | +209.8% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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