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San Juan Capistrano, CA
Full City Profile · California · Orange County County
3.2
/5.0
B
Good
34,998
Population
2,425/sq mi density
$127,893
Median Income
$60,670 per capita
$929,700
Home Value
$1,316,019 Zillow
$2,500
Median Rent
29.4% income on rent
63°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
174
Violent Crime/100K
820 property/100K
B
Overall
3.2 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A+
Economy
4.9 / 5.0
$127,893 median income, 2.5% unemployment
C+
Affordability
2.6 / 5.0
$929,700 home value, $2,500/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
174 violent crimes/100K
A
Education
4.4 / 5.0
42.3% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-1.3%
35,480 → 35,031
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-0.13%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+69.2%
$75,600 → $127,893
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+5.4%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for San Juan Capistrano across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
34,713
-318 from 2023 (35,031)
Projected Median Income 2030
$184,812
+$56,919 from 2023 ($127,893)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 35,480 | — | $75,600 | — |
| 2015 | 35,997 | +1.5% | $72,472 | -4.1% |
| 2017 | 36,084 | +0.2% | $81,730 | +12.8% |
| 2019 | 35,983 | -0.3% | $91,600 | +12.1% |
| 2021 | 34,955 | -2.9% | $111,875 | +22.1% |
| 2023 | 35,031 | +0.2% | $127,893 | +14.3% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.