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Uncertain, TX

Full City Profile · Texas · Marion County County

3.4 /5.0
B Good
94 Population 174/sq mi density
$58,750 Median Income $52,440 per capita
$225,000 Home Value $171,460 Zillow
65°F Avg Temperature 308 sunny days/yr
489 Violent Crime/100K 3,279 property/100K
B
Overall
3.4 / 5.0
Good overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A
Economy
4.2 / 5.0
$58,750 median income, 0.0% unemployment
A+
Affordability
4.5 / 5.0
$225,000 home value, /mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
489 violent crimes/100K (29% above avg)
A
Education
4.0 / 5.0
37.9% bachelor's degree or higher
Uncertain enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 65°F (18°C). Winters average 46°F in January while summers reach 83°F in July. The area gets 308 sunny days per year. Annual precipitation totals 49.7 inches. The area receives 1.3 inches of snow annually. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 42.

Temperature

46°F Jan (8°C) 83°F Jul (28°C)
Annual Average64.7°F
20% above US avg
January Average46°F (8°C)
July Average83°F (28°C)
Sunny Days308 days/yr

Geography

Elevation186 ft (57 m)
Area0.5 sq mi (1.3 km²)
Population Density174/sq mi
Coordinates32.7006°N, 94.1333°W
TimezoneAmerica/Chicago
CountyMarion County County
Nearest AirportShreveport Regional (SHV)
25 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Annual Rainfall 49.7"
31% above US avg
Snowfall 1.3"
Wettest Month (May) 4.69"
Driest Month (Aug) 2.83"

Air Quality

AQI Median42.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskVery Low
Risk Score29.2 / 100
Social Vulnerability97.4 / 100
Community Resilience20.1 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Flood Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

39 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990. Strongest: M4.8. Most recent: M3.2 on Aug 22, 2025.

May 17, 2012 3 km NE of Timpson, Texas M4.8 89 km
Sep 2, 2013 3 km WNW of Timpson, Texas M4.3 92 km
Sep 2, 2013 14 km WNW of Timpson, Texas M4.2 90 km
Jan 25, 2013 11 km SE of Timpson, Texas M4.1 97 km
May 10, 2012 9 km NW of Timpson, Texas M3.9 88 km
Jan 27, 2024 4 km SSW of Hall Summit, Louisiana M3.6 98 km
Jan 18, 2025 0 km WSW of Mooringsport, Louisiana M3.5 15 km
Mar 29, 2025 13 km NNE of Wells, Texas M3.5 142 km
Jan 20, 2019 7 km SSW of San Augustine, Texas M3.3 137 km
Aug 22, 2025 5 km WSW of Huxley, Texas M3.2 107 km
Jun 10, 1994 4 km E of Junction City, Arkansas M3.2 141 km
Apr 16, 2021 8 km WNW of Blanchard, Louisiana M3.2 18 km
Jan 6, 2025 4 km ESE of Mooringsport, Louisiana M3.0 21 km
Apr 2, 2024 5 km WSW of Chireno, Texas M3.0 139 km
Aug 21, 2025 8 km W of Huxley, Texas M3.0 106 km
Apr 1, 2021 7 km W of Blanchard, Louisiana M3.0 20 km
Mar 3, 2001 2 km SSE of El Dorado, Arkansas M3.0 148 km
May 31, 2013 7 km SE of Timpson, Texas M2.9 95 km
Jan 9, 2024 1 km S of Edgefield, Louisiana M2.8 105 km
Jan 29, 2013 4 km S of Timpson, Texas M2.8 96 km
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)

Hurricane History

4 hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 500 km since 1980. Strongest: Category 3. Most recent: Laura (2020, Cat 3).

Year Name Category Closest
2020 Laura Category 3 125 km
2008 Ike Category 2 219 km
2007 Humberto Category 1 272 km
2005 Rita Category 1 245 km
Source: NOAA IBTrACS (Cat 1+, 1980–2026)

Tornado History

738 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950. Strongest: EF4. Total: 52 fatalities, 866 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Fatalities
Apr 3, 1999 EF4 34 km 7
Dec 3, 1978 EF4 42 km 2
Mar 12, 1971 EF4 93 km 1
Feb 12, 1950 EF4 82 km 18
Nov 4, 2022 EF3 73 km 1
Nov 4, 2022 EF3 79 km 0
Jan 20, 2010 EF3 24 km 0
Apr 9, 2009 EF3 39 km 0
Apr 23, 2000 EF3 31 km 0
Apr 23, 2000 EF3 45 km 0
Apr 3, 1999 EF3 84 km 0
Apr 3, 1999 EF3 99 km 0
Jun 7, 1989 EF3 80 km 0
Apr 1, 1988 EF3 76 km 0
Nov 15, 1987 EF3 93 km 1
Nov 15, 1987 EF3 55 km 0
Apr 23, 1985 EF3 43 km 0
May 2, 1984 EF3 48 km 0
Apr 25, 1982 EF3 71 km 0
Apr 25, 1982 EF3 54 km 0
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km. Largest: NORTHEAST TEXAS FIRE COMPLEX (41,645 ac, 2011).

Year Name Acres Distance
2011 NORTHEAST TEXAS FIRE COMPLEX 41,645 36 km
2011 OLD MAGNOLIA 4,881 78 km
2022 TXCLR-FY22-RX-W 3,288 3 km
2011 DIANA 2,863 63 km
2011 592 2,278 15 km
2011 PETERS CHAPEL 2,072 13 km
2021 UNNAMED 1,756 83 km
1999 UNNAMED 1,699 99 km
2014 UNNAMED 1,614 90 km
2011 MARSHALL 1,583 25 km
2018 C-25 26 27 1,565 84 km
2011 RELEASE 1,398 23 km
2004 UNNAMED 1,358 64 km
1998 UNNAMED 1,317 17 km
2017 UNNAMED 1,199 81 km
2022 C-24 28 1,161 78 km
2011 UNNAMED 1,046 17 km
2018 C-28 882 80 km
2004 BUSSEY 795 84 km
2021 CANEY LAKES 756 85 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 46°F (8°C) 4.0 in Coldest
February 49°F (9°C) 4.0 in
March 56°F (13°C) 4.3 in
April 64°F (18°C) 4.4 in
May 71°F (22°C) 4.7 in Wettest
June 78°F (26°C) 4.6 in
July 83°F (28°C) 3.2 in Warmest
August 81°F (27°C) 2.8 in Driest
September 75°F (24°C) 3.3 in
October 65°F (18°C) 4.2 in
November 55°F (13°C) 4.6 in
December 47°F (8°C) 4.5 in

Uncertain has a seasonal temperature swing of 38°F / from 46°F in January to 83°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 48.6 inches, with May being the wettest month (4.7") and August the driest (2.8").

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