Avra Valley, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Pima County County
2.7
/5.0
C+
Fair
6,364
Population
284/sq mi density
$53,085
Median Income
$26,608 per capita
$156,200
Home Value
$432,818 Zillow
70°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
500
Violent Crime/100K
2,929 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.7 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C+
Economy
2.8 / 5.0
$53,085 median income, 5.8% unemployment
A+
Affordability
5.0 / 5.0
$156,200 home value, /mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
500 violent crimes/100K (32% above avg)
D
Education
1.9 / 5.0
11.7% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
+20.2%
5,294 → 6,364
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
+1.86%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+4.3%
$50,889 → $53,085
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+0.42%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Avra Valley across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
7,240
+876 from 2023 (6,364)
Projected Median Income 2030
$54,666
+$1,581 from 2023 ($53,085)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 5,294 | — | $50,889 | — |
| 2015 | 4,736 | -10.5% | $49,902 | -1.9% |
| 2017 | 5,227 | +10.4% | $45,313 | -9.2% |
| 2019 | 6,203 | +18.7% | $46,893 | +3.5% |
| 2021 | 5,916 | -4.6% | $47,121 | +0.5% |
| 2023 | 6,364 | +7.6% | $53,085 | +12.7% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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