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Chance, OK

Full City Profile · Oklahoma · Delaware County County

1.3 /5.0
F Poor
291 Population 46/sq mi density
60°F Avg Temperature 318 sunny days/yr
254 Violent Crime/100K 2,605 property/100K
F
Overall
1.3 / 5.0
Below average overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
254 violent crimes/100K
D
Education
1.6 / 5.0
7.6% bachelor's degree or higher
Chance enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F (16°C). Winters average 39°F in January while summers reach 81°F in July. The area gets 318 sunny days per year. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45.

Temperature

39°F Jan (4°C) 81°F Jul (27°C)
Annual Average60.4°F
12% above US avg
January Average39°F (4°C)
July Average81°F (27°C)
Sunny Days318 days/yr

Geography

Elevation1,185 ft (361 m)
Area6.3 sq mi (16.4 km²)
Population Density46/sq mi
Coordinates36.0675°N, 94.6463°W
TimezoneAmerica/Chicago
CountyDelaware County County
Nearest AirportNorthwest Arkansas Ntl (XNA)
24 miles away

Precipitation & Snow

Wettest Month (May) 5.39"
Driest Month (Jan) 2.09"

Air Quality

AQI Median45.0
RatingGood

Natural Hazard Risk

Overall RiskRelatively Moderate
Risk Score82.7 / 100
Social Vulnerability90.9 / 100
Community Resilience5.8 / 100

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Flood Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Very High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)

Earthquake History

63 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990. Strongest: M3.7. Most recent: M2.9 on Aug 14, 2024.

Aug 24, 2021 1 km S of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.7 125 km
Aug 18, 2019 1 km ENE of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.7 123 km
Aug 22, 2021 3 km ESE of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.4 123 km
Jul 22, 2021 2 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.3 122 km
Feb 7, 2020 2 km SSW of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.2 127 km
Feb 7, 2020 3 km SSW of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.2 127 km
Aug 12, 2019 1 km NE of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.2 122 km
Jun 3, 2022 10 km W of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.2 129 km
Mar 14, 2022 12 km E of Crowder, Oklahoma M3.1 134 km
Apr 1, 2020 2 km NE of Quinton, Oklahoma M3.1 121 km
Sep 21, 2019 2 km NNE of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.9 122 km
Feb 3, 2021 1 km SW of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.9 125 km
May 8, 2022 13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.9 134 km
Aug 14, 2024 13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.9 134 km
Aug 12, 2021 2 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.8 123 km
Jul 8, 2019 3 km ENE of Quinton, OK M2.8 121 km
Mar 23, 2024 9 km SE of Foyil, Oklahoma M2.8 80 km
Jun 5, 2022 13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.8 134 km
Aug 15, 2019 2 km ENE of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.8 122 km
Aug 22, 2021 1 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma M2.8 123 km
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)

Tornado History

700 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950. Strongest: EF5. Total: 44 fatalities, 734 injuries.

Date Rating Distance Fatalities
Mar 26, 1976 EF5 97 km 2
Apr 24, 1975 EF4 85 km 3
May 26, 1973 EF4 84 km 5
May 5, 1960 EF4 77 km 5
Jan 22, 1957 EF4 74 km 10
Apr 3, 1956 EF4 83 km 0
May 25, 2024 EF3 26 km 0
Mar 30, 2022 EF3 45 km 0
May 22, 2011 EF3 51 km 0
Dec 31, 2010 EF3 11 km 4
Mar 12, 2006 EF3 41 km 0
Mar 12, 2006 EF3 18 km 0
Jun 1, 1999 EF3 55 km 2
May 4, 1999 EF3 56 km 0
Apr 21, 1996 EF3 79 km 2
Apr 21, 1996 EF3 86 km 2
Nov 22, 1983 EF3 26 km 0
Dec 2, 1982 EF3 75 km 0
Apr 19, 1981 EF3 44 km 0
Apr 7, 1980 EF3 65 km 0
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)

Wildfire History

20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km. Largest: UNNAMED (18,089 ac, 2007).

Year Name Acres Distance
2007 UNNAMED 18,089 60 km
2007 UNNAMED 14,774 80 km
2004 UNNAMED 12,086 65 km
2017 MIDDLE RIDGE 8,501 55 km
2016 UNNAMED 7,919 91 km
2013 UNNAMED 7,804 91 km
2003 UNNAMED 7,415 73 km
2019 UNNAMED 7,344 91 km
2007 UNNAMED 6,657 54 km
2017 HILLTOP 6,523 60 km
2005 TEXANNA ROAD 6,139 99 km
2010 SPUD ROCK CENTRAL 6,117 74 km
2009 TELAMAY HOLLOW 5,686 17 km
2006 UNNAMED 5,537 78 km
2017 PERSIMMON RIDGE 5,333 61 km
2009 SAWMILL HOLLOW 5,166 16 km
2011 GRUBER 4,831 61 km
2017 UNNAMED 4,818 80 km
1992 UNNAMED 4,546 8 km
2005 FLAT ROCK 4,472 59 km
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)

Monthly Weather

Month Avg Temperature Precipitation Summary
January 39°F (4°C) 2.1 in Coldest, Driest
February 41°F (5°C) 2.4 in
March 50°F (10°C) 4.1 in
April 58°F (15°C) 4.3 in
May 66°F (19°C) 5.4 in Wettest
June 74°F (23°C) 4.6 in
July 81°F (27°C) 3.2 in Warmest
August 78°F (26°C) 3.5 in
September 71°F (22°C) 5.0 in
October 60°F (15°C) 4.1 in
November 48°F (9°C) 4.2 in
December 39°F (4°C) 3.1 in

Chance has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 39°F in January to 81°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 45.9 inches, with May being the wettest month (5.4") and January the driest (2.1").

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