Violent Crime
254/100K
33% lower than US avg
Bachelor's+
7.6%
77% lower than US avg
Obesity Rate
44.2%
38% higher than US avg
Unemployment
1.6%
56% lower than US avg
Poverty Rate
5.3%
57% lower than US avg
How Chance Compares to the U.S. Average (100% = U.S. avg)
People
Population291
Median Age58.7 yrs
Density46/mi²
Male / Female55% / 45%
Largest GroupWhite 57%
Veterans14.1%
Economy
Per Capita$26,943
Unemployment1.6%
Poverty5.3%
County GDP$1,335M
Commute21 min
Housing
Ownership89.4%
Zillow$184,582
Housing Units189
Rent Burden26.7%
Crime
F
Violent254/100K
Property2,605/100K
Health
Obesity44.2%
Uninsured14.2%
Smoking24.8%
Depression27.3%
Heart Disease8.0%
Climate
Avg Temp60°F (16°C)
AQI45 (Good)
Sunny Days318/yr
Elevation1,185 ft (361 m)
Education
D
Bachelor's+7.6%
High School+95.1%
Graduate+3.9%
School Score5.05
Community
2024 VoteR 80% / D 19%
Commute21 min
Broadband59.0%
EV Stations1
Libraries3
Is Chance a Good Place to Live?
Based on current data, Chance receives an overall livability score of 1.3 out of 5.0, earning a grade of F. Key strengths include low unemployment, low crime rates, abundant sunshine, a low poverty rate. Areas to be aware of include a high uninsured rate, high obesity rates. Chance faces significant challenges across several quality-of-life categories.
Economy & Jobs
The job market is very strong with unemployment at just 1.6%. Only 5.3% of residents live below the poverty line, well below the national rate of 12.4%. Workers commute an average of 21 minutes.
Safety & Crime
Violent crime in Chance is below the national average at 254 per 100,000 residents (U.S. avg: 380). Property crime occurs at a rate of 2,605 per 100,000, 33% above the national average.
Education
7.6% of residents hold a bachelor's degree, below the national average of 33.7%. 95.1% have completed high school. Area schools have an average test score of 5/10.
Climate & Weather
Chance enjoys a moderate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F. Winters average 39°F in January while summers reach 81°F in July. With 318 sunny days per year, residents enjoy well above the national average of sunshine. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45.
Chance has a population of 291 with a density of 46 people per square mile, spread across 6.3 square miles. The median age is 58.7 years, 51% older than the national median of 38.9. The gender split is 45% female and 55% male. The city is predominantly White (57.4%), with 28.5% Hispanic. English is the primary language spoken at home by 100% of residents. 14.1% of the population are veterans, above the national rate of 6.0%. 6.9% of residents have a disability (below the 13.0% national average). 88.3% have health insurance coverage.
Population
58.7yrs
Median Age
51% above US avg
Language Spoken at Home
English Only
100.0%
27% above US avg
Spanish
0.0%
100% below US avg
Per capita income is $26,943 (below the $39,052 national figure). The average weekly wage is $818, 43% lower than the U.S. average. The unemployment rate is 1.6% (below the 3.6% US average). 5.3% of residents live below the poverty line, lower than the national rate of 12.4%. The area has 942 business establishments, including 87 restaurants. The cost of living index is 87.8, below the national baseline of 100 / offering relatively affordable living. Workers commute an average of 21 minutes (shorter than the 28-minute US average). 0.0% of workers work from home (below the 15.2% national rate).
Income
| |
| Per Capita Income | $26,943 |
| Avg Weekly Wage | $818 |
| IRS Avg AGI | $60,487 |
| Gini Index | 0.470 (0=equal, 1=unequal) |
Employment & Poverty
| Unemployment | 1.6% |
| 56% below US avg |
| Poverty Rate | 5.3% |
| 57% below US avg |
| Establishments (County) | 942 |
| County GDP | $1,335M |
Business (County)
| Restaurants | 87 |
| Healthcare | 83 |
| Retail | 149 |
| Manufacturing | 23 |
Tax & Cost of Living
| Property Tax (IRS) | $3,794 |
| 8% above US avg |
| Cost of Living | 87.80 (100=avg) |
Commute & Transportation
| Commute Time | 20.5 min |
| Drive Alone | 71.2% |
| Public Transit | 0.0% |
| Work from Home | 0.0% |
Zillow estimates the typical home value at $184,582. Fair market rent ranges from $791 for a one-bedroom to $995 for a two-bedroom apartment. 89.4% of housing units are owner-occupied (above the 65.4% national rate). There are 189 total housing units in the city. The median year a home was built is 1972. The average annual property tax is $3,794. 26.7% of renters spend 30% or more of their income on housing.
Real Estate Market (Redfin)
Rental Costs
HUD Fair Market Rent
| Studio | $744 |
| 1 Bedroom | $791 |
| 2 Bedrooms | $995 |
| 3 Bedrooms | $1,297 |
| 4 Bedrooms | $1,501 |
Ownership & Property
| Homeownership | 89.4% |
| Owner-Occupied | 89.4% |
| Renter-Occupied | 10.6% |
| Housing Units | 189 |
| Median Year Built | 1972 |
Property Tax
| Avg Tax (IRS) | $3,794 |
| 8% above US avg |
In Chance, 44.2% of adults are obese, above the national rate of 32.1%. 15.1% have diabetes (above the 10.5% national rate). Heart disease affects 8.0% of residents, above the national average. 39.6% have high blood pressure. 24.8% are current smokers (above the 14.0% national rate). 12.8% report binge drinking. 40.0% are physically inactive, above the national average. 27.3% report depression (above the 20.0% national average). 22.4% experience frequent mental distress. 14.2% of residents lack health insurance (above the 8.6% national rate). The primary care physician ratio is 1:2,563. The dentist ratio is 1:2,180. 49.0% of residents have access to exercise opportunities. The food environment index is 6.5 out of 10.
Health Metrics: Chance vs U.S. Average (%)
Chronic Conditions
| Obesity | 44.2% |
| 38% above US avg |
| Diabetes | 15.1% |
| Heart Disease | 8.0% |
| High Blood Pressure | 39.6% |
| Asthma | 13.9% |
| COPD | 10.2% |
| Cancer | 6.4% |
| Stroke | 4.6% |
Behaviors & Mental Health
| Smoking | 24.8% |
| 77% above US avg |
| Binge Drinking | 12.8% |
| Physical Inactivity | 40.0% |
| Depression | 27.3% |
| Mental Distress | 22.4% |
| Physical Distress | 18.0% |
| Short Sleep | 42.4% |
Healthcare Access
| Insurance Rate | 88.3% |
| Uninsured | 14.2% |
| 65% above US avg |
| Primary Care | 1:2,563 |
| Dentists | 1:2,180 |
| Mental Health | 1:474 |
| Checkup Rate | 76.3% |
| Dental Visits | 45.2% |
| Premature Death | 13,171/100K |
Food & Exercise
| Food Environment | 6.5/10 |
| Exercise Access | 49.0% |
| Healthcare Facilities | 83 |
Chance has a violent crime rate of 254 per 100,000 residents, 33% below the national average of 380. Property crime stands at 2,605 per 100,000, 33% above the U.S. average. The county recorded 13 fatal traffic crashes. Overall, Chance receives a safety grade of F.
Crime Rates: Chance vs U.S. Average (per 100,000)
Violent Crime
| Total Violent | 254.1/100K |
| 33% below US avg |
| |
Property Crime
| Total Property | 2,604.8/100K |
| 33% above US avg |
Traffic Safety
| Fatal Crashes (County/yr) | 13 |
| Avg Accident Severity | 0.0 / 4.0 |
Safety Score
| Safety Grade | F |
| Safety Score | 1.0 / 5.0 |
Chance enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F (16°C). Winters average 39°F in January while summers reach 81°F in July. The area gets 318 sunny days per year, well above the U.S. average of 205 / making it one of the sunnier locations in the country. Air quality is rated Good with a median AQI of 45. The city sits at an elevation of 1,185 feet.
Temperature
39°F Jan (4°C)
81°F Jul (27°C)
| Annual Average | 60.4°F |
| 12% above US avg |
| January Average | 39°F (4°C) |
| July Average | 81°F (27°C) |
| Sunny Days | 318 days/yr |
Geography
| Elevation | 1,185 ft (361 m) |
| Area | 6.3 sq mi (16.4 km²) |
| Population Density | 46/sq mi |
| Coordinates | 36.0675°N, 94.6463°W |
| Timezone | America/Chicago |
| County | Delaware County County |
| Nearest Airport | Northwest Arkansas Ntl (XNA)
24 miles away |
Precipitation & Snow
Wettest Month (May)
5.39"
Air Quality
| AQI Median | 45.0 |
| Rating | Good |
Natural Hazard Risk
| Overall Risk | Relatively Moderate |
| Risk Score | 82.7 / 100 |
| Social Vulnerability | 90.9 / 100 |
| Community Resilience | 5.8 / 100 |
Hazard Breakdown
| Tornado |
Relatively Moderate |
| Hurricane |
Very Low |
| Earthquake |
Relatively Low |
| Wildfire |
Relatively Moderate |
| Flood |
Relatively Moderate |
| Hail |
Relatively Low |
| Strong Wind |
Relatively High |
| Heat Wave |
Relatively Moderate |
| Winter Weather |
Relatively Moderate |
| Lightning |
Relatively Moderate |
| Ice Storm |
Very High |
| Drought |
Relatively Moderate |
| Cold Wave |
Relatively Moderate |
| Landslide |
Relatively Low |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (Dec 2025)
Earthquake History
63 earthquakes (M2.5+) within 150 km since 1990.
Strongest: M3.7. Most recent: M2.9 on Aug 14, 2024.
| Aug 24, 2021 |
1 km S of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.7 |
125 km |
| Aug 18, 2019 |
1 km ENE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.7 |
123 km |
| Aug 22, 2021 |
3 km ESE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.4 |
123 km |
| Jul 22, 2021 |
2 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.3 |
122 km |
| Feb 7, 2020 |
2 km SSW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.2 |
127 km |
| Feb 7, 2020 |
3 km SSW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.2 |
127 km |
| Aug 12, 2019 |
1 km NE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.2 |
122 km |
| Jun 3, 2022 |
10 km W of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.2 |
129 km |
| Mar 14, 2022 |
12 km E of Crowder, Oklahoma |
M3.1 |
134 km |
| Apr 1, 2020 |
2 km NE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M3.1 |
121 km |
| Sep 21, 2019 |
2 km NNE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.9 |
122 km |
| Feb 3, 2021 |
1 km SW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.9 |
125 km |
| May 8, 2022 |
13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.9 |
134 km |
| Aug 14, 2024 |
13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.9 |
134 km |
| Aug 12, 2021 |
2 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.8 |
123 km |
| Jul 8, 2019 |
3 km ENE of Quinton, OK |
M2.8 |
121 km |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
9 km SE of Foyil, Oklahoma |
M2.8 |
80 km |
| Jun 5, 2022 |
13 km WSW of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.8 |
134 km |
| Aug 15, 2019 |
2 km ENE of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.8 |
122 km |
| Aug 22, 2021 |
1 km E of Quinton, Oklahoma |
M2.8 |
123 km |
Source: USGS (M2.5+, 1990–2025)
Tornado History
700 tornadoes (EF0+) within 100 km since 1950.
Strongest: EF5. Total: 44 fatalities, 734 injuries.
| Date |
Rating |
Distance |
Fatalities |
| Mar 26, 1976 |
EF5 |
97 km |
2 |
| Apr 24, 1975 |
EF4 |
85 km |
3 |
| May 26, 1973 |
EF4 |
84 km |
5 |
| May 5, 1960 |
EF4 |
77 km |
5 |
| Jan 22, 1957 |
EF4 |
74 km |
10 |
| Apr 3, 1956 |
EF4 |
83 km |
0 |
| May 25, 2024 |
EF3 |
26 km |
0 |
| Mar 30, 2022 |
EF3 |
45 km |
0 |
| May 22, 2011 |
EF3 |
51 km |
0 |
| Dec 31, 2010 |
EF3 |
11 km |
4 |
| Mar 12, 2006 |
EF3 |
41 km |
0 |
| Mar 12, 2006 |
EF3 |
18 km |
0 |
| Jun 1, 1999 |
EF3 |
55 km |
2 |
| May 4, 1999 |
EF3 |
56 km |
0 |
| Apr 21, 1996 |
EF3 |
79 km |
2 |
| Apr 21, 1996 |
EF3 |
86 km |
2 |
| Nov 22, 1983 |
EF3 |
26 km |
0 |
| Dec 2, 1982 |
EF3 |
75 km |
0 |
| Apr 19, 1981 |
EF3 |
44 km |
0 |
| Apr 7, 1980 |
EF3 |
65 km |
0 |
Source: NOAA SPC (EF0+, 1950–2024)
Wildfire History
20 wildfires (100+ acres) within 100 km.
Largest: UNNAMED (18,089 ac, 2007).
| Year |
Name |
Acres |
Distance |
| 2007 |
UNNAMED |
18,089 |
60 km |
| 2007 |
UNNAMED |
14,774 |
80 km |
| 2004 |
UNNAMED |
12,086 |
65 km |
| 2017 |
MIDDLE RIDGE |
8,501 |
55 km |
| 2016 |
UNNAMED |
7,919 |
91 km |
| 2013 |
UNNAMED |
7,804 |
91 km |
| 2003 |
UNNAMED |
7,415 |
73 km |
| 2019 |
UNNAMED |
7,344 |
91 km |
| 2007 |
UNNAMED |
6,657 |
54 km |
| 2017 |
HILLTOP |
6,523 |
60 km |
| 2005 |
TEXANNA ROAD |
6,139 |
99 km |
| 2010 |
SPUD ROCK CENTRAL |
6,117 |
74 km |
| 2009 |
TELAMAY HOLLOW |
5,686 |
17 km |
| 2006 |
UNNAMED |
5,537 |
78 km |
| 2017 |
PERSIMMON RIDGE |
5,333 |
61 km |
| 2009 |
SAWMILL HOLLOW |
5,166 |
16 km |
| 2011 |
GRUBER |
4,831 |
61 km |
| 2017 |
UNNAMED |
4,818 |
80 km |
| 1992 |
UNNAMED |
4,546 |
8 km |
| 2005 |
FLAT ROCK |
4,472 |
59 km |
Source: NIFC/IRWIN (100+ acres)
Monthly Weather
| Month |
Avg Temperature |
Precipitation |
Summary |
| January |
39°F (4°C) |
2.1 in |
Coldest, Driest |
| February |
41°F (5°C) |
2.4 in |
|
| March |
50°F (10°C) |
4.1 in |
|
| April |
58°F (15°C) |
4.3 in |
|
| May |
66°F (19°C) |
5.4 in |
Wettest |
| June |
74°F (23°C) |
4.6 in |
|
| July |
81°F (27°C) |
3.2 in |
Warmest |
| August |
78°F (26°C) |
3.5 in |
|
| September |
71°F (22°C) |
5.0 in |
|
| October |
60°F (15°C) |
4.1 in |
|
| November |
48°F (9°C) |
4.2 in |
|
| December |
39°F (4°C) |
3.1 in |
|
Chance has a seasonal temperature swing of 42°F / from 39°F in January to 81°F in July. Total annual precipitation is 45.9 inches, with May being the wettest month (5.4") and January the driest (2.1").
Average costs for common services in Chance. Prices are estimated based on regional cost of living data and may vary by provider.
Healthcare
| Doctor Visit (Primary Care) |
$220 ($132–$351) |
| Specialist Visit |
$307 ($176–$483) |
| Urgent Care Visit |
$176 ($88–$307) |
| Emergency Room Visit |
$1,932 ($702–$4,390) |
| Dental Cleaning |
$114 ($66–$176) |
| Dental Filling |
$220 ($132–$351) |
View all 40 services
Auto Repair
| Oil Change (Conventional) |
$40 ($22–$66) |
| Oil Change (Synthetic) |
$66 ($44–$105) |
| Brake Pad Replacement |
$263 ($132–$439) |
| Tire Rotation |
$35 ($18–$66) |
| New Tires (Set of 4) |
$527 ($351–$878) |
| Battery Replacement |
$176 ($88–$307) |
View all 18 services
Home Services
| Plumber (Per Hour) |
$88 ($53–$132) |
| Electrician (Per Hour) |
$79 ($44–$123) |
| HVAC Repair |
$351 ($132–$702) |
| HVAC System Install |
$6,146 ($3,512–$10,536) |
| Roof Repair |
$878 ($351–$1,756) |
| Roof Replacement |
$7,902 ($4,829–$13,170) |
View all 25 services
Legal
| Divorce (Uncontested) |
$1,317 ($439–$3,073) |
| Divorce (Contested) |
$13,170 ($4,390–$26,340) |
| DUI Defense |
$4,390 ($1,756–$8,780) |
| Bankruptcy (Chapter 7) |
$1,317 ($702–$2,634) |
| Will Preparation |
$439 ($176–$878) |
| Trust Preparation |
$2,195 ($878–$4,390) |
View all 12 services
Personal Care
| Men's Haircut |
$22 ($13–$40) |
| Women's Haircut |
$48 ($26–$88) |
| Hair Coloring (Full) |
$132 ($66–$220) |
| Manicure |
$22 ($13–$40) |
| Pedicure |
$35 ($22–$57) |
| Massage (1 Hour) |
$70 ($44–$114) |
View all 12 services
Food & Grocery
| Gallon of Milk (per gallon) |
$3.60 ($2.63–$4.83) |
| Dozen Eggs (per dozen) |
$3.07 ($2.20–$4.39) |
| Loaf of Bread |
$3.34 ($2.20–$4.83) |
| Chicken Breast (per lb) |
$3.95 ($2.63–$5.71) |
| Ground Beef (per lb) |
$4.83 ($3.51–$6.59) |
| Rice (per lb) |
$0.88 ($0.53–$1.58) |
View all 20 services
Utilities
| Electricity (Monthly) |
$123 ($70–$220) |
| Natural Gas (Monthly) |
$61 ($26–$132) |
| Water/Sewer (Monthly) |
$61 ($35–$105) |
| Internet (Monthly) |
$61 ($35–$88) |
| Cell Phone Plan (Monthly) |
$57 ($26–$88) |
| Cable TV (Monthly) |
$75 ($44–$132) |
View all 8 services
Transportation
| Monthly Parking (Downtown) |
$176 ($66–$439) |
| Car Insurance (Annual) |
$1,756 ($1,054–$3,073) |
| Bus Pass (Monthly) |
$61 ($26–$114) |
| Taxi/Uber (5-Mile Ride) |
$13 ($7.02–$22) |
| Car Registration (Annual) |
$88 ($26–$220) |
| Driver's License Renewal |
$26 ($13–$66) |
View all 8 services
Education & Childcare
| Daycare (Infant, Monthly) |
$1,054 ($527–$2,195) |
| Daycare (Toddler, Monthly) |
$878 ($439–$1,756) |
| After-School Care (Monthly) |
$351 ($176–$615) |
| Tutoring (Per Hour) |
$44 ($22–$88) |
| SAT/ACT Prep Course |
$878 ($351–$2,195) |
| Private School (K-12, Annual) |
$10,975 ($4,390–$26,340) |
View all 8 services
Pets
| Vet Visit (Routine Checkup) |
$53 ($26–$88) |
| Dog Vaccination (Annual) |
$88 ($44–$176) |
| Dog Grooming |
$53 ($26–$88) |
| Pet Boarding (Per Night) |
$35 ($18–$66) |
| Dog Spay/Neuter |
$263 ($132–$439) |
| Cat Spay/Neuter |
$176 ($88–$351) |
View all 9 services
Childcare
| Center-Based (monthly) |
| Infant | $902 |
| Toddler | $780 |
| Preschool | $780 |
| Family Childcare (monthly) |
| Infant | $655 |
| Toddler | $603 |
| Preschool | $603 |
Source: DOL Women's Bureau (2022)
Frequently Asked Questions About Chance
What is the population of Chance?
Chance has a population of 291 residents and is located in Oklahoma. The population density is 46 people per square mile, spread across 6.3 square miles. The median age of residents is 58.7 years, which is older than the national median of 38.9 years. The population is 45% female and 55% male.
Is Chance expensive to live in?
Chance is more affordable than the national average, with a cost of living index of 87.8 / below the baseline of 100.
Is Chance safe?
Chance is safer than the national average, with a violent crime rate of 254 per 100,000 compared to the U.S. rate of 380. Property crime occurs at a rate of 2,605 per 100,000 (above the national average). Overall, Chance receives a safety grade of F based on combined crime data.
What is the weather like in Chance?
Chance enjoys a temperate climate with an average annual temperature of 60°F (16°C). Winter temperatures average 39°F in January, while summers reach an average of 81°F in July. The area receives 318 sunny days per year, well above the national average of 205. Air quality is rated Good with a median Air Quality Index (AQI) of 45.
How is the job market in Chance?
The job market in Chance is very strong, with unemployment at just 1.6% / well below the national rate of 3.6%. The average weekly wage is $818. There are 942 business establishments in the area, including 87 restaurants and food service locations. The average commute time is 21 minutes, and 0.0% of workers work from home.
How are the schools in Chance?
Schools in Chance score 5 out of 10 on standardized testing, near the national average. 7.6% of adults in Chance hold a bachelor's degree or higher, below the national average of 33.7%. 95.1% have completed high school. 3.9% hold a graduate or professional degree.
How healthy is Chance?
The obesity rate in Chance is 44.2% (above the national rate of 32.1%). 24.8% of adults are smokers. 40.0% are physically inactive. 27.3% of residents report depression. 14.2% lack health insurance (above the national rate). 49.0% of residents have access to exercise opportunities. The primary care physician ratio is 1:2,563.
What is transportation like in Chance?
The average commute in Chance is 21 minutes, shorter than the national average of 28 minutes. 71.2% of workers drive alone to work, and 0.0% work from home.
What are the demographics of Chance?
The racial and ethnic makeup of Chance is 57.4% White, 28.5% Hispanic or Latino. 100% of residents speak only English at home. 14.1% of the population are military veterans. 6.9% of residents have a disability. 88.3% have health insurance coverage.
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