Duncan, AZ
Full City Profile · Arizona · Graham County County
2.6
/5.0
C+
Fair
1,063
Population
494/sq mi density
$38,750
Median Income
$20,874 per capita
$159,200
Home Value
$237,473 Zillow
$550
Median Rent
18.8% income on rent
61°F
Avg Temperature
330 sunny days/yr
20
Violent Crime/100K
2,099 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.6 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
C+
Economy
2.7 / 5.0
$38,750 median income, 1.8% unemployment
A
Affordability
4.4 / 5.0
$159,200 home value, $550/mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
20 violent crimes/100K
C
Education
2.1 / 5.0
14.3% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-10.5%
750 → 671
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-1.11%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+25.4%
$30,898 → $38,750
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+2.29%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Duncan across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
621
-50 from 2023 (671)
Projected Median Income 2030
$45,405
+$6,655 from 2023 ($38,750)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 750 | — | $30,898 | — |
| 2015 | 805 | +7.3% | $29,400 | -4.8% |
| 2017 | 787 | -2.2% | $45,341 | +54.2% |
| 2019 | 786 | -0.1% | $45,625 | +0.6% |
| 2021 | 677 | -13.9% | $42,115 | -7.7% |
| 2023 | 671 | -0.9% | $38,750 | -8% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.
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