All Countries
Chance, MD
Full City Profile · Maryland · Somerset County County
2.8
/5.0
C+
Fair
218
Population
131/sq mi density
$63,500
Median Income
$43,146 per capita
$229,800
Home Value
$196,588 Zillow
58°F
Avg Temperature
297 sunny days/yr
37
Violent Crime/100K
521 property/100K
C+
Overall
2.8 / 5.0
Fair overall score based on economy, affordability, safety and education
A
Economy
4.1 / 5.0
$63,500 median income, 2.9% unemployment
A+
Affordability
4.6 / 5.0
$229,800 home value, /mo rent
F
Safety
1.0 / 5.0
37 violent crimes/100K
F
Education
1.4 / 5.0
4.5% bachelor's degree or higher
Change Over Time (2013–2023)
Population Change
-6%
232 → 218
over 10 years
Annual Pop. Growth
-0.62%
Compound annual growth rate
Median Income Change
+45.1%
$43,750 → $63,500
nominal, not inflation-adjusted
Annual Income Growth
+3.8%
Compound annual growth rate
Population Over Time
Total population for Chance across each available Census ACS release.
Median Household Income Over Time
Median household income reported by U.S. Census ACS. Values are nominal (not adjusted for inflation).
Projected 2030
Simple projections extrapolating the 2013–2023 compound annual growth rate forward. These are mathematical extensions of recent trends, not forecasts — real outcomes depend on migration, policy and economic shifts.
Projected Population 2030
209
-9 from 2023 (218)
Projected Median Income 2030
$82,443
+$18,943 from 2023 ($63,500)
Year-by-Year Detail
| Year | Population | YoY % | Median Income | YoY % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 232 | — | $43,750 | — |
| 2015 | 283 | +22% | $66,250 | +51.4% |
| 2017 | 375 | +32.5% | $53,958 | -18.6% |
| 2019 | 470 | +25.3% | $60,833 | +12.7% |
| 2021 | 344 | -26.8% | $55,288 | -9.1% |
| 2023 | 218 | -36.6% | $63,500 | +14.9% |
Source: U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (Data Commons). Home value and rent are not yet available historically.